????????3%!???????????????

????:??????:???????qq2023

????????7???3%,??????????????

?????????????9?????????????,???????????????0.8??105???,???????????????????????????,???,???????????????

???????????

???????????7??????????????1%???????,??????????18??,5??7280???????????

??????,?????,???????????????,???????2023???????,?????????723?????????

???????????(Ole Hansen)??:“???????????,????,???,?????”

????????????????Exinity???????????????(Han Tan)???????????,“???????????????????,?????”

??????????????????????,????????????????????????,??2010????,???7800????????,?????Metals Daily????(Ross Norman)??????????????,???????,????????1000?????“???????,??????????”??????????????

???,????????????????????(IMF)??,???????????3?????????????????????4.448??????????????236.610????????;????2?????????3.079???????????????????145.661???????????????????????(Adam Glapinski)????????,??????????????5?????????,????????????

???????

?????????????????,?????????????,?????????????????2022?????????????3???,??????????????????15%,??,???

??,??5????????????,9????????????????6?????????,?6?,10????????10?????5%??70??????????

?????????????ADP??????????????,5????????????27.2?????,????4???????????????0.2%??????????????????????????0.4%,??????????4.1%?????????????????????????,3.0%~3.5%??????????2%??????????????????

??????????9?????????,9?????50%?????????????????????????????,?????????????????????2%?????????????,????,????????

??????????,??????????7???????????????11?????????????????????????,????7???????????????????(Michael Feroli)???,“7?????9?,???,???????,???11??????????????????????”

LPL???(Quencey Krosby)??????????????,????,????????????,?????????,“???9???,???????,??????????” ??????????????????:??????????