??????????????????????:??????

????:??????????:?????150??

????6???????????????14????????????????? (????? ?????)???????????????«????????????????????-??????????»???????????????,?????????,???

??????????????????????????????????,?2.1???,????????,????????????

??????????????????,????????????????????1989???11??????,???????????????(?????????Dan Guravich,????????)?????????/????????????

?,????????????????????,??,?????1700?????????????,???????,??????????????????????????,??????????,???????,????

????30????,??1??????????????????????,?120??150???????????????????,?????????????????????

????????(???Erinn Hermsen,?????)????????????/????

????,?????????????????????Julienne Stroeve??????????,?IPCC??????????????(CMIP6)????,???,?????

????????????183??????????????????????????????218????????????????,????????2.1???????2.6?,?????????????,?,?????????,???????????????,??11?????1??????

Julienne Stroeve???????? MOSAiC???(?????Lars Barthel)?????????????????/??????????????????????????????????

?????????????????,??2???,???????(??)

???:?????