????:1??????150??????:??????

2??????95?

3???????

4????????

5???????????

???????7??3%,???

??????9???,???????0.8?????????105??????????,??????????????????????????,???,??????

???????

???????????7??1%???????????????,???18??????????,5????7280???

?????????,?????,???????????????????????,?????????????2023??,????????723??????????????????????

???(Ole Hansen)??:“????????????,??,???????,?????????????????”

??Exinity?????????????????(Han Tan)??????????????,“?????????,????????”

??????,???????????????????,?????????????2010???????,??????????????7800???????,?????Metals Daily??(Ross Norman)??????????????,?????????????????????,?1000?????????“?????????????,?????????????”????????????????

?????????????,???????????(IMF)?????????????,?3?????????????????4.448???????????236.610???????????????;????2???????????3.079??????????????145.661????????????????????????(Adam Glapinski)???????????,????????5???????????????????,????????

????????????

??????????,???,?????????????2022?????????3????????????,?????????15%,????,?????

?????????????,??????5????,9??????????6???????,????????6????,10????????10??5%?????70????????????????

???ADP?????????????????????,5????27.2???????????,????????????????????????4?????????0.2%???0.4%,?4.1%??????,3.0%~3.5%???????2%????????????????

???????????9??????????????????????,9??????50%????????????????,?????????????2%?????????,???????,????

???????????????,?????????7???????????????????11???????????????????????,???7??????????????????????(Michael Feroli)????,“7?????????9??????????????,?????????,?????????????????????,??????????????????11?????”

LPL???(Quencey Krosby)???,?????????,???,???????????????????,“??????????????????????????9??????????,????????????????????,????” ????????????:?????