????????3%!???????????????

????:?????????????:???????????

??7??3%,????????

?????????????????9???????,????0.8?????105?,???????????,????,??????

???????????

????????7???1%??????????,???????????????18?????????,5???????7280?????????????????

???????????,??????????????,????????????????????????????????????,??2023???,?????723??????????????????????

????(Ole Hansen)???????????:“????,??????????,????????????,????”

???Exinity?????????(Han Tan)?????????,“????????????,?????????”

?????????????????,????????????????????????????,??2010?????????????????,??????????????7800??????????,???Metals Daily???(Ross Norman)??????????????,??,????????????1000????????“??,???????????????”???

??????????????????,??????????????????????(IMF)????,????????????3???????????????4.448????????236.610????;???2??????????3.079????????145.661????????(Adam Glapinski)???????,???5???????,??????????????

????

????????????,??????????????,???????????????????????????2022???????3????????,???15%,?????????????,???????????

?,????????????????????????5??????????,9???????????6??????????????,?????????????6??,10?????????????10?????????5%???????????????70??????????????

?????????????ADP??????????????????,5????27.2?????????????????,???????????4?????????0.2%????????0.4%,???????????????4.1%????????,3.0%~3.5%????????????????????2%????????????????

?????9?????,9?????????????????????50%????????????,???????????2%?????????????????,???????????,????????????

???????????,?????????7???????????11?????????????????????????,???7???????????(Michael Feroli)???????,“7?????????????9???,???,???????,???????????????????11??????????”

LPL????(Quencey Krosby)??????????,????,???,???????????????,“????????????9??,??????,???????” ???????????????:??