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?,?2.1????????,?????????????????,??????????????

??,??????????????????1989??11???????,?????????(??????????????????????????????????Dan Guravich,??????????????????????????????)???????????????????????????????/????

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????30????,???1???,????????????????????120??????????150?????????,???

???????????????(??Erinn Hermsen,?)????????????????????/??

???????,?????????????????Julienne Stroeve???????????,?????IPCC?????????(CMIP6)???,????????????????????,??????

?????183??218????????????????,??????????????????????????????????2.1???????2.6??,??????????????,???,??????????????,??,????????11?????????1????????????????

Julienne Stroeve???? MOSAiC??????(??????????Lars Barthel)??????????????/?????

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