????:1?????????:??95?

2?????100?????

3????????

4????????

5?????????

??????????????????????????????9?19???????? (?????????? ??)????????????????????«???????»?????,???????????????????????21?????,??????????????????????????10??????????????????,??

???????????????????????,????,???,???????????????????

?,?????????????????????????????????????Irina Y. Petrova?????Diego G. Miralles?,?(IPCC?SSP2-4.5?????????SSP5-8.5?????????????????????????????????????????)???,?1998-2018??(????)???

???????????????????,?????????21??????,?????????,??42%44%????2080???2100??????,????????10????????????????,????,??????????????????????

??,???,??????????????3???????????,????

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