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??????????6???????????????14?? (?????????????????? ??)??????????«??????????-??????»????,????,???

???????,???????2.1?????,????,??????????????????

?????,?????????????????1989????????????11?,?????(???????Dan Guravich,?)???????????/?????????

???,???????,????????????????????,??1700???????????????,???????,???????????????????????????????????????????,??????,???????????,??????????????????

??30?,???????????1????????????????????,???????????????120????150????????????????????,?????

?(???????Erinn Hermsen,??????????????????????????????????)???????????????/?????????

?????????????,???????????????????Julienne Stroeve?????,???????????IPCC??(CMIP6)???,?????????????,???

?????183???218????????????,????????2.1?????????2.6???,?????????????????????????????????????????????,??????????,????,??????????????????????????????,?????????11??1?????

Julienne Stroeve?? MOSAiC???(?????Lars Barthel)?????/?????

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