????:1?????v:????????

2???????50?

3?600???????

4???????

5????????

?????????7??????3%,???

??9???????????,??0.8?????????????????????105??????????????????????????,???????????????,?????????????,?????????????????????

???????

???????7??????????????1%????????????????,???18?,5?????????7280?????????????

????,??,??????,???????2023???????????????????,?????723??????????????????????

????(Ole Hansen)?????????:“???,??,???????,????????????????????”

??Exinity????????(Han Tan)??????,“??,?????????????”

?????????????????????,??????????????????????????,?????????2010?????????,???????????7800?????????????,?????Metals Daily??????????(Ross Norman)?????????,???????,???1000?????????“??????????????,????????????”?????

??????,?????????????????(IMF)???????????????,???3???????4.448????????236.610???;?????2????3.079?????????????????145.661??????????????(Adam Glapinski)???????????,???????5????,??????????

????????

???????,????,???????????????????????????2022???????3?????????????????,?????15%,??????????????,???

??,??5??,9???????????????????6??????????????????,??????????6?????????,10?????????????10????5%???????????70????????

????????ADP????????????????????????????,5???????????27.2???,??????????????4????0.2%???0.4%,?????????????????????4.1%????,3.0%~3.5%???????????2%????

??????????9???????????????????????????,9??????????50%??????????????,?????????????2%????,????,??

???????????????,???7?????????????11???????????????????????????,????????????????7??????????????(Michael Feroli)?????????,“7???????????????????????????9???,?????????????,??????????????,?????????????????11??????????????”

LPL?(Quencey Krosby)????????????,?,?????????????,????,“?????????9???,???????????????,?????” ????????????????????:???